Titre : | Risk, surprises and black swans : fundamental ideas and concepts in risk assessment and risk management |
Auteurs : | Terje Aven |
Type de document : | Books |
Editeur : | London [United Kingdom] : Routledge, 2014 |
Article en page(s) : | XIII, 262 p. |
ISBN/ISSN/EAN : | 978-0-415-73506-3 |
Langues: | Anglais |
Index. décimale : | 338.5 |
Catégories : |
2.05 Approche scientifique > Méthode scientifique > Évaluation > Évaluation du risque |
Tags : | Risk assessment ; Risk management |
Résumé : | Risk, Surprises and Black Swans provides an in depth analysis of the risk concept with a focus on the critical link to knowledge; and the lack of knowledge, that risk and probability judgements are based on. Based on technical scientific research, this book presents a new perspective to help you understand how to assess and manage surprising, extreme events, known as 'Black Swans'. This approach looks beyond the traditional probability-based principles to offer a broader insight into the important aspects of uncertain events and in doing so explores the ways to manage them. |